Negative-Drapes
0xdfec8d02da40c9414765b308d8f2c434e56f09a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$332.17
Total PnL
$-406.98
Realised
$-117.51
Win rate
29%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
250 shares @ 69.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$83.75
$-88.75
- NO
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?
80 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$80.00
$18.40
- YES
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
184 shares @ 82.0¢·now 41.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.72
$-75.16
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
88 shares @ 46.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.96
$7.48
- NO
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
32 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$31.87
$1.22
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.70
$-0.70
- NO
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?
3 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.62
$0.13
- YES
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
300 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.65
$-70.35
- YES
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
52 shares @ 20.2¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-9.28
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 49.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.42
$-0.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?$0.18May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$1.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$4.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$13.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$24.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$240.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$273.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$305.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$307.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$493.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?$563.00May 21, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?$113.40Apr 21, 04:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 29, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 27, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $113.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 03:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.