Extraneous-Inhabitant
0xe03db5c44f79df6f4be1954ef30da82dc395189a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
546 shares @ 91.6¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$507.44
$7.44
- NO
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$492.22
$37.25
- NO
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
400 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$354.00
$18.00
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
400 shares @ 80.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$298.00
$-22.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
455 shares @ 44.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$193.18
$-6.82
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
200 shares @ 88.8¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$176.70
$-0.90
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.98
$19.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$123.25
$23.25
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$104.49
$4.49
- NO
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
106 shares @ 94.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.06
$1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?$2.94Jun 13, 08:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?$1.26Jun 12, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?$79.00Jun 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?$2.20Jun 12, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?$14.70Jun 12, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$286.09Jun 12, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$24.00Jun 12, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$204.48Jun 12, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$178.40Jun 12, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$50.25Jun 12, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$37.18Jun 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$10.99Jun 12, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$9.99Jun 12, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$100.00Jun 12, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?$500.00Jun 12, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$100.00Jun 12, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$659.07Jun 12, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$179.86Jun 12, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: April$371.21Jun 12, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $113.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.