Grizzled-Lollipop
0xe07c2230f904ae750cf2b04d6b0cc860e6ff1307
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-856.94
Realised
$215.89
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
729 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$729.00
$0.73
- NO
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?
547 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$547.00
$295.38
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
391 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$391.00
$125.12
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
384 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$384.00
$1.15
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
227 shares @ 65.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$227.00
$77.41
- JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
207 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$207.00
$20.91
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?
188 shares @ 71.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$188.00
$54.14
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 25, 2026?
147 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$147.00
$38.22
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
261 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.03
$0.00
- NO
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?
16 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$16.00
$2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?$133.86Apr 23, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$60.03Apr 23, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?$169.36Apr 23, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?$102.83Apr 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$62.32Apr 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?$93.12Apr 12, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?$104.64Apr 12, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$63.08Apr 11, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?$1.1KApr 11, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$363.35Apr 9, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$332.15Apr 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$211.25Apr 9, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$163.80Apr 9, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$76.70Apr 9, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$29.05Apr 9, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$251.62Apr 8, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$900.15Apr 8, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-04-12?$396.72Mar 31, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-04-12?$73.95Mar 31, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$21.84Mar 30, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $207.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.