Thorough-Wallet
0xe0891d1e4d61cd98b53535a6cfcf828c93dc586e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$18.68
Total PnL
$-8.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.35
$3.35
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.35
$2.35
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.00Jan 11, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Jan 11, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jan 11, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$2.00Jan 11, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$1.00Jan 11, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Jan 11, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Jan 11, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Jan 11, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Jan 11, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYICE shooter charged by March 31?$1.00Jan 11, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$1.00Jan 11, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 11, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 11, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.41Jan 11, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?$1.49Jan 4, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$14.29Nov 22, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.