0xe0d4cca042eb6100c13ba2ed9e8666b5a064e138
0xe0d4cca042eb6100c13ba2ed9e8666b5a064e138
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.12
Total PnL
$-56.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Khatt Ahmar win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.25
$-0.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 85.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- UNLV RUNNIN REBELS
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
15 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-14.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET
12 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-7.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
11 shares @ 97.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.52
- NO
Ramin Rezaeian: 1+ goals
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCho Guesung: 3+ goals$10.01Jun 19, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCho Guesung: 3+ goals$10.01Jun 19, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Qatar?$10.08Jun 19, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$0.90Jun 18, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Qatar?$10.01Jun 18, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-5.5)$1.62Jun 18, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-5.5)$1.62Jun 18, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa?$10.42Jun 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa?$10.02Jun 18, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$1.00Jun 18, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Panama (-3.5)$10.03Jun 18, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$1.00Jun 17, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 17?$1.24Jun 17, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Panama (-3.5)$10.01Jun 17, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Jun 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 17?$1.24Jun 17, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMSamu Costa: 5+ shots$10.15Jun 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSamu Costa: 5+ shots$10.01Jun 17, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?$0.00Jun 17, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?$0.00Jun 17, 06:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 03:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.