Pungent-Quinoa
0xe0f4d0bfdd63ad0d58757b3cbe38b731221fc542
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$8.78
Total PnL
$-64.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
31 shares @ 31.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$4.24
$-5.76
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.56
$-1.44
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
46 shares @ 10.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.77
$-3.23
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.22
$-1.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
511 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMAliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$22.22Jul 23, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bunny" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$3.00Mar 31, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1?$1.00Mar 31, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.00Mar 27, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29)$1.00Mar 27, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Embargo" this week? (March 29)$2.00Mar 27, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Low Energy" in March?$1.00Mar 27, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epic Fury" during National Agriculture Day events?$1.00Mar 27, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLHurricanes vs. Canadiens$6.05Mar 25, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Cooperation" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$1.00Mar 24, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Challenge" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$1.00Mar 24, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "UN" or "United Nations" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$1.00Mar 24, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Canadiens$2.00Mar 24, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$1.00Mar 24, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$1.00Mar 24, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Dimona by March 31?$2.00Mar 21, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "N Word" in March?$1.00Mar 21, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Aliens are Real" in March?$3.00Mar 21, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?$1.00Mar 21, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$1.00Mar 21, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 20:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 02:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.