Hot-Beard
0xe14d11e327445b04509acf1f4829e7dde19e35a5
active
Quality score
84/100
Open positions
6
Open notional
$78.67
Total PnL
$0.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
20 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.62
$0.40
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 76.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$15.27
$0.87
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.33
$0.27
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
20 shares @ 71.6¢·now 60.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.15
$-2.17
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
20 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.10
$-0.30
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.20
$1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$14.401d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$12.063d ago
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?$1.145d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$10.4010d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$9.0012d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$3.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$10.2012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?$6.8613d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?$20.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?$15.0027d ago
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$14.3230d ago
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$13.2030d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$13.0030d ago
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$20.0037d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$15.3239d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$13.3239d ago
- TRADESELLWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$16.0041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$11.3441d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$13.2044d ago
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$11.0248d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $17.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 279d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.