Adolescent-Inquiry
0xe188d74afc6f5c6438fb6271e3c2e374f07c6e9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$24.10
Total PnL
$-79.41
Realised
$0.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
6 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.07
$0.07
- YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 60.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.20
$-2.80
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 11.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 92.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
1 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$11.16May 27, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$5.36May 27, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.00May 20, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00May 20, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 20, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 20, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 20, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 20, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$5.00May 20, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 20, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$1.33May 20, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$2.27May 20, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$6.98May 20, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$10.24Apr 24, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 23?$1.56Apr 24, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$2.25Apr 23, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 23?$1.00Apr 23, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$10.00Apr 23, 14:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 15:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.