Insidious-Ottoman
0xe1d415e4018407e8ca414a07188bc94c6063a31e
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$340.68
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$195.48
Win rate
58%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- BRAZIL
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
180 shares @ 94.7¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$170.54
$0.59
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
156 shares @ 90.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$124.03
$-17.47
- NO
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
169 shares @ 37.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.25
$-31.25
- YES
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
220 shares @ 6.2¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$14.86
$1.28
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
2123 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-71.43
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
1238 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-135.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
1155 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-239.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
1049 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.34
- YES
Will Vance say "Semper" during Air Force Academy Address?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will HEROIC qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Morocco (-1.5)$4.35Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.50Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$4.38Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5$1.59Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Morocco (-1.5)$165.85Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$8.58Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$8.58Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$0.56Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$8.58Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$8.58Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$8.58Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Morocco (-2.5)$63.94Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$4.61Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$1.53Jun 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$39.85Jun 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$3.45Jun 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$4.37Jun 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$3.59Jun 13, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$102.61Jun 13, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 1.5$4.65Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $13.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.