Misguided-Mole
0xe22d21b05a606237ff2b47ca8ff50aac28c479f2
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$370.46
Total PnL
$-64.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
3300 shares @ 12.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$346.46
$-58.49
- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.74
$4.74
- NO
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.21
$4.01
- YES
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.04
$1.70
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$132.0024m ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$26.002h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$246.962h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$148.005h ago
- REWARD$3.8610h ago
- REWARD$2.971d ago
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$252.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$13.082d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$122.922d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$252.002d ago
- REWARD$5.732d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$62.533d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$183.933d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$36.993d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$187.163d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$13.523d ago
- TRADESELLSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$20.453d ago
- TRADESELLSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$361.943d ago
- TRADEBUYSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$60.003d ago
- TRADEBUYSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$10.003d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $78.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 24m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
