Yummy-Share
0xe2c11686e00812301af137ffbacf92e3cb90fa46
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
192
Open notional
$15.96
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$67.73
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 192- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
55 shares @ 33.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.13
$-3.02
- YES
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC?
99 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.84
$0.44
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
15055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.14
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
10123 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-23.43
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
10028 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-83.92
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
7028 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
5448 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-56.57
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
5340 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-36.15
- YES
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
5029 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.01
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
5015 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-19.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC?$0.39Jul 2, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)$9.67Jun 27, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$2.15Jun 20, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 4, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 3, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.12Jun 3, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$57.00Jun 2, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 2, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.45Jun 2, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.01May 15, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.01May 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$2.11May 15, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$2.02May 15, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.05May 15, 11:19 UTC
- REWARD$1.85May 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$23.86May 12, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.16May 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$4.95May 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$18.75May 12, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$6.13May 12, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.