Clueless-Hive
0xe2e0efe41f8c6fb5cfb9e1967e208fa635e0ad86
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$545.18
Total PnL
$49.84
Realised
$86.16
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- UNDER
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
455 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$266.18
$-6.82
- NO
Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
305 shares @ 85.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$228.75
$-30.50
- NO
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
57 shares @ 63.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$47.59
$11.68
- NO
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
4 shares @ 59.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.66
$0.30
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.05
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
13 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMAberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 26, 8AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 3 of the 2026 flu season be between 50 and 60?$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$415.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMEureka Red Devils vs. Indiana State Sycamores (W)$215.50Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)$0.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$894.59Jun 15, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$880.88Apr 23, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$146.97Apr 12, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$192.28Apr 11, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$271.32Apr 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$271.32Apr 11, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $284.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.