Abandoned-Owner
0xe32b921d896be47dba96b94ce93b0ede4860cb8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$19.11
Total PnL
$-81.00
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say "Odyssey" on Hot Ones?
25 shares @ 68.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$19.11
$2.34
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?
121 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-14.80
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
106 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
70 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-6.94
- NO
Claude 4 released in May?
63 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.30
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?
26 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?
25 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say "Odyssey" on Hot Ones?$16.98Jul 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$17.00May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3.54May 14, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$3.53May 14, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$6.03May 14, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.49May 14, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$3.82May 14, 19:52 UTC
- SPLITWill Finland come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$6.00May 14, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.91May 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 14, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.08May 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.12May 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.21May 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$18.06May 13, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$21.62May 11, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$1.80Oct 27, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$1.80Oct 27, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?$6.94Oct 26, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$1.00Oct 24, 11:43 UTC
- MERGEWill Bernie say "Fascist" or "Fascism" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?$5.00Oct 22, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.