Likable-Spot
0xe3fca04b0cdb7ba99d596c30b5735fc80b84e300
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$655.86
Total PnL
$44.44
Realised
$-28.38
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
144 shares @ 74.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$128.99
$21.09
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
891 shares @ 7.4¢·now 13.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$119.40
$53.54
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
185 shares @ 43.9¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$95.20
$14.10
- YES
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$50.50
$2.50
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
29 shares @ 69.2¢·now 74.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$21.40
$1.40
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
113 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.81
$0.32
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
113 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.48
$-0.82
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$14.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
113 shares @ 7.7¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.28
$4.53
- NO
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$12.20
$1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.61Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$4.35Jun 13, 05:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$25.00Jun 12, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$60.00Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$3.07Jun 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$3.08Jun 12, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$5.03Jun 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-27?$2.01Jun 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$3.04Jun 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?$2.03Jun 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$2.02Jun 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$2.03Jun 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$2.02Jun 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$2.03Jun 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$2.02Jun 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$1.01Jun 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$1.02Jun 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$2.03Jun 12, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 21:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.