Humiliating-Elicit
0xe44f707e06cae82335e16a81fd8c9ad4e56bf4d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$449.89
Total PnL
$0.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$121.95
$21.95
- NO
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$111.46
$11.46
- NO
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
103 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$102.89
$2.89
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$100.00
$5.90
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
109 shares @ 23.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.59
$-11.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?
164 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?$30.00Jan 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$94.10Jan 13, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$100.00Jan 13, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$100.00Jan 13, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$25.00Jan 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by January 31?$100.00Jan 13, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEM1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?$142.36Feb 6, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$0.00Feb 6, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?$54.35Feb 6, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$55.23Dec 3, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?$4.67Dec 3, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2024?$7.14Dec 3, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$149.25Nov 7, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2024?$20.00Nov 1, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$20.00Nov 1, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?$50.00Nov 1, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?$25.00Nov 1, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?$100.00Nov 1, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$60.00Oct 30, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Oct 30, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $55.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 16:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.