Upset-Toy
0xe4536aa04004b8865c257ac1178b12878afebc01
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$253.79
Total PnL
$-55.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
1348 shares @ 7.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$168.54
$68.54
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
319 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.55
$1.59
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
582 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$13.10
$-45.14
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.47
$-18.53
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.13
$-1.88
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
2229 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
2111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill HYPE flip SOL by December 31?$100.00May 14, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$127.67May 14, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$179.64May 7, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$47.06Apr 22, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$100.00Apr 19, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$108.04Apr 19, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$74.00Apr 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?$50.96Apr 19, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$124.97Apr 19, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$37.49Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$30.00Apr 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$20.00Apr 13, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$0.00Apr 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$38.24Apr 13, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$20.00Apr 8, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$78.24Apr 8, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$33.88Apr 6, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 6, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $55.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".