Noxious-Scholar
0xe4668e1e7c85c5d8d5d6295e94c021fea69d9531
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$76.78
Total PnL
$-30.21
Realised
$1.93
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.63
$0.63
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$8.55
$-0.15
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 76.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.45
$-0.15
- YES
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
80 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.21
$-1.20
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
7 shares @ 79.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.00
$-0.53
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.79
$-0.21
- NO
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.79
$-0.08
- NO
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.32
$-0.28
- YES
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.25
$-5.25
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
7 shares @ 35.3¢·now 49.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.48
$1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$5.35Jun 3, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.60Jun 2, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.70Jun 2, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$6.55Jun 1, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.19Jun 1, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$6.37Jun 1, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$30.00Jun 1, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$2.80Jun 1, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$6.69Jun 1, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$5.42Jun 1, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$9.88Jun 1, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 1, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.28May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.80May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$6.72May 15, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$6.44May 14, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$9.29May 10, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$0.00May 8, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$2.41May 8, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$0.16May 8, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".