Gorgeous-Fortune
0xe46767426083d8357045a0c4f40dd9f01d61437f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-21.3K
Realised
$28.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1290 shares @ 31.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$303.23
$-96.77
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1383 shares @ 21.7¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$277.38
$-22.62
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1724 shares @ 17.4¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$200.89
$-99.11
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
755 shares @ 39.7¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$188.83
$-111.17
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1667 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$158.33
$-141.66
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.07
$-58.93
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
62 shares @ 64.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.93
$-22.47
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
285 shares @ 35.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.65
$-84.35
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
35741 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.4K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
10000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.