Disguised-Cream
0xe4945b2d01c86512fddf881bf09c8593a27096d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$355.01
Total PnL
$-423.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$133.62
$33.62
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
645 shares @ 31.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.55
$-106.45
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$75.00
$-25.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
229 shares @ 35.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.29
$-37.71
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.56
$-9.44
- NO
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
3503 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
1547 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
276 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Will Google say "ChatGPT" or "OpenAI" during earnings call?
165 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
159 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$80.00May 4, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$20.66May 4, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$150.00May 4, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.00May 4, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$100.00May 4, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 4, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$56.48May 4, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$35.00Apr 24, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$20.00Apr 24, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$10.00Apr 24, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 24, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$10.00Apr 24, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$5.00Apr 24, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google say "ChatGPT" or "OpenAI" during earnings call?$100.00Apr 24, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?$40.00Apr 24, 22:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $52.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.