0xe54174e3fbb728c97a5349edf5968f8fcdb8b524
0xe54174e3fbb728c97a5349edf5968f8fcdb8b524
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$-2.09
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Cape Verde win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Netherlands win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 9?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.99Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $0.99Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?$0.72Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$0.98Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?$1.00Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.98Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.99Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$0.98Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?$0.91Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.99Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.90Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?$0.80Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$0.76Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.99Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMajor CEX insolvent in 2026?$0.98Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.98Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$0.45Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?$0.98Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.99Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.