Immense-Prizefight
0xe5a6766cc93f1ff94788afc82ebd0a3cdcda0a76
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$3.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15486 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14287 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-42.86
- YES
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10815 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-58.72
- YES
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9875 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.75
- YES
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9866 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-29.60
- YES
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9811 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.62
- YES
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9734 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.47
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9726 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.45
- YES
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9720 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.44
- YES
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9303 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-18.61
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.43May 5, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$1.0KMay 4, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.2KMay 4, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$1.6KApr 29, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$31.97Apr 28, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$23.68Apr 28, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.55Apr 28, 01:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.21Apr 28, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.95Apr 28, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.88Apr 28, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.66Apr 28, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.00Apr 28, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.84Apr 28, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16.63Apr 27, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$202.14Apr 27, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.14Apr 27, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.20Apr 27, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.25Apr 27, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$12.16Apr 27, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.60Apr 27, 22:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $251.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.