Tough-Crook
0xe5acedf3dcf2857c0804517347ab4b750299cb52
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-271.71
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
6831 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
5126 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-973.98
- NO
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
4953 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
647 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
414 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
400 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-23.95
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
306 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
287 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$973.98Feb 3, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.66Feb 3, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$1.01Feb 3, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.55Feb 3, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.96Feb 3, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$1.37Feb 3, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.46Feb 3, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$631.11Feb 3, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.99Feb 3, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.09Feb 3, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by March 31?$1.12Feb 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$2.21Feb 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$1.43Feb 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$4.03Feb 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$7.72Feb 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$7.93Feb 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$9.17Feb 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$9.32Feb 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$9.88Feb 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?$9.99Feb 3, 01:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $162.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 01:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.