0xe5b66440e3b6144a0aa23e2d880e920ac0ddcd13
0xe5b66440e3b6144a0aa23e2d880e920ac0ddcd13
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$71.16
Total PnL
$-1.75
Realised
$2.37
Win rate
33%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
20 shares @ 46.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$20.00
$10.75
- YES
Will NS RedForce win Masters Santiago 2026?
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$10.00
$7.20
- YES
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$10.00
$6.00
- YES
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$10.00
$3.90
- YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?
5 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$4.30
- YES
Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$5.00
$2.70
- YES
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$5.00
$1.60
- YES
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$5.00
$1.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 37.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.16
$-1.43
- YES
Will NRG win Masters Santiago 2026?
20 shares @ 45.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?$3.60Apr 25, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$0.97Apr 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?$2.40Apr 23, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?$0.70Apr 22, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?$3.40Apr 21, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$1.47Apr 19, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%?$0.70Apr 16, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$2.50Apr 16, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$0.11Apr 16, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?$0.65Apr 16, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$3.00Apr 16, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$3.65Apr 16, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?$0.00Apr 5, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 5, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill NRG win Masters Santiago 2026?$0.00Apr 5, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win the 2026 Six Nations championship?$0.00Apr 5, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?$0.00Apr 5, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?$0.00Apr 5, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$0.00Apr 5, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NS RedForce win Masters Santiago 2026?$0.00Apr 5, 18:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 00:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.