0xe5dde991dcadabae6c54ee79ea6397216b4dedb6
0xe5dde991dcadabae6c54ee79ea6397216b4dedb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$141.22
Total PnL
$2.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
11 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$11.15
$3.23
- NO
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?
13 shares @ 63.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$10.73
$2.73
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
12 shares @ 67.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.76
$1.83
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
12 shares @ 67.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$9.64
$1.71
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.49
$-0.39
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
9 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.35
$0.42
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$8.28
$0.35
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.17
$0.24
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
9 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.06
$0.14
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.68
$0.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?$8.12May 13, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$8.75May 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of May 11 2026?$2.37May 12, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.81May 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.02May 11, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$18.01May 11, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.36May 11, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$1.42May 11, 02:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$0.00May 2, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.00May 2, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$0.99Apr 25, 09:24 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 16:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".