Disguised-Smog
0xe5e9f90f89db51ea8925ef5133f6dcc5c78234dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
34466 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.5K
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
70 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
53 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
50 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?
45 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
45 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Francisco Javier Bellott win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?
42 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
12 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
9 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.13Apr 26, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.18Apr 26, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.14Apr 26, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.21Apr 26, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.25Apr 26, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.27Apr 26, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.28Apr 26, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELL2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?$0.36Apr 26, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.43Apr 26, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.60Apr 26, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$0.62Apr 26, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.94Apr 26, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$1.19Apr 26, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?$0.85Apr 26, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.86Apr 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$1.02Apr 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.05Apr 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.98Apr 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$1.80Apr 18, 08:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $261.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 10:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.