Exemplary-Estimate
0xe680edd4e9836cd4c6c6a685ac13b8a8a8d5bed0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-168.07
Realised
$-68.81
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
19 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-17.29
- YES
Will Chainlink dip to $8 in April?
16 shares @ 91.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.52
- NO
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?
15 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-13.45
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 27?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.06
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 7?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 7?
10 shares @ 87.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.67
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 12?
10 shares @ 95.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.23
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 8?
7 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.02
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 7?
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 3?$5.35May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$6.74May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill New York Knicks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$7.99May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?$9.90May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 3?$10.19May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 2?$10.88May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?$11.03May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 1?$11.54May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?$13.76May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?$14.88May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?$15.59May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?$17.46May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks $18.34May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $18.92May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 1?$19.95May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$20.36May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 1?$20.57May 17, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?$4.44Apr 30, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?$8.86Apr 30, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York Knicks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$7.13Apr 30, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $8.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.