Lawful-Arithmetic
0xe699b501419b39d01bd975c3c5ab68241cdf8790
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$234.40
Total PnL
$160.45
Realised
$138.36
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
290 shares @ 62.1¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$225.83
$45.92
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
119 shares @ 24.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.74
$-21.51
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.51
$-1.88
- YES
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?
210 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.32
$-0.32
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026?
2 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?$2.58Jun 12, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?$18.89Jun 12, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?$24.92Jun 6, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?$12.93Jun 6, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$20.71Jun 5, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026?$0.05Jun 4, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026?$0.06Jun 2, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?$95.17Jun 2, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$0.00May 31, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$0.00May 31, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$0.00May 31, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$0.00May 31, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMKash Patel out by April 30?$0.00May 31, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$52.27May 31, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$83.88May 31, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?$26.22May 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$0.99May 29, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$1.01May 29, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$43.50May 29, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$16.10May 29, 18:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $18.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 06:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.