Honorable-Cake
0xe6de18098994a5f7c43e05d72a537d8004d58d6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$438.19
Total PnL
$-712.10
Realised
$1.28
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 71.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$105.00
$-37.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$99.95
$0.05
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.75
$0.28
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.55
$-0.12
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1130 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.91
$-1.36
- NO
Will Gina Viola finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
20 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.86
$0.52
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1130 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.52
$-0.63
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1130 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.52
$-0.63
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.35
$15.68
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.56
$14.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$499.50May 15, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$99.90May 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?$18.96May 15, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeyson Lopez advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$0.96May 15, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$498.50May 15, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeyson Lopez advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$2.40May 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$1.54May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$1.20May 15, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$0.40May 15, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lindsey Horvath finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$9.02May 15, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lindsey Horvath finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$9.79May 15, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$18.00May 15, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monica Rodriguez finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$15.26May 15, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lindsey Horvath finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$18.84May 15, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Viola finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$19.34May 15, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?$18.86May 15, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Patrick Wilver be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?$3.29May 15, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Wilver be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?$1.73May 15, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Wilver be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?$1.42May 15, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Wilver be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?$0.25May 15, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $133.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".