Well-Documented-Tachometer
0xe702c8a3efa6bb98f07a40514573e348124e80fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$51.00
Total PnL
$-165.83
Realised
$-4.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
147 shares @ 32.2¢·now 22.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$33.64
$-13.76
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.06
$0.05
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
33 shares @ 21.2¢·now 17.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.86
$-1.14
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.44
$-0.06
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
522 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
107 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
105 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
33 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
16 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.54Jul 2, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$7.22Jun 24, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$10.04Jun 24, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$16.65Jun 24, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$19.68Jun 24, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$0.98Jun 24, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$0.69Jun 24, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$1.04Jun 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$0.88Jun 24, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$1.04Jun 24, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$1.00Jun 24, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$0.14Jun 24, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.35Jun 24, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$2.04Jun 14, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$0.83Jun 14, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.04Jun 14, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?$1.97Jun 14, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$5.10Jun 13, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$4.98Jun 13, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$1.09Jun 13, 21:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.