0xe72ca4c55b6aca03da3c55b570c7224ee9b8d3eb
0xe72ca4c55b6aca03da3c55b570c7224ee9b8d3eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$254.75
Total PnL
$100.50
Realised
$-0.95
Win rate
27%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
30 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$29.67
$29.67
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
23 shares @ 18.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$22.61
$18.36
- YES
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
15 shares @ 34.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$14.57
$9.59
- YES
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
15 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.50
$2.03
- YES
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
13 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$13.10
$1.01
- NO
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
12 shares @ 36.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$12.11
$7.66
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
10 shares @ 29.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.32
$7.28
- YES
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$9.83
$9.83
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
9 shares @ 0.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.26
$8.26
- NO
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
8 shares @ 0.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$7.50
$7.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$0.24Feb 22, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.61Feb 21, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$5.05Feb 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$4.11Feb 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.03Feb 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$4.20Feb 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$1.07Feb 21, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.