PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires May 12, 2026

Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?

Probability

30¢

+0.0pp

24h

-5.0pp

24h Vol

$227.18

Liquidity

$26.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-17.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 10:00Apr 25, 2026, 09:14

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 398.8h
LOW
09:14Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 399h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
09:00Price
Probability down -7.5pp
to 30¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -7.5pp
to 30¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -7.5pp
to 30¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -7.5pp
to 30¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 38¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 38¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 38¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 38¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -9.0pp
to 38¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -8.5pp
to 38¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -9.0pp
to 38¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventWest Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 12, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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