Bare-Gaffer
0xe7f478abde9a924f7c9026b3c0107ee93bd9bc90
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$-13.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
19755 shares @ 8.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.3K
$-382.90
- YES
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6990 shares @ 8.3¢·now 11.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$772.38
$192.85
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
46045 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$253.25
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$233.00
$33.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2878 shares @ 4.9¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$142.44
$1.44
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5922 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$133.24
$38.49
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$98.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1129 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$88.66
$-7.34
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
11561 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$86.71
$-81.28
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1333 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$68.67
$-3.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$595.47Jun 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$98.76Jun 12, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$76.15Jun 12, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$773.48Jun 12, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97.55Jun 12, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$98.64Jun 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$145.02Jun 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$277.95Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$62.67Jun 12, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$195.20Jun 12, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$139.89Jun 12, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$265.62Jun 12, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$46.66Jun 12, 05:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$410.26Jun 11, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.5KJun 11, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$570.37Jun 11, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$192.65Jun 11, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $381.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 02:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.