Reliable-Retouching
0xe7fd200929f229d1953eb1b97ae37449c720a3e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$526.22
Total PnL
$-5.96
Realised
$30.68
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- EVEN
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
526 shares @ 50.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$526.00
$260.90
- YES
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
1 shares @ 60.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.22
$-0.38
- YES
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
418 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-129.58
- YES
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
399 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-167.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?$0.72Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?$3.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMCitrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m before 2027?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 26?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMAberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 12, 6AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $167.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 17:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.