Unknown-Downstairs
0xe86975039332dbbd952f7af5e24aff249f31dbfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
125
Open notional
$21.68
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-391.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
7 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.49
$-1.51
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.11
$0.11
- NO
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
3 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
2 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
18 shares @ 27.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.39
$-4.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
1199 shares @ 95.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
1083 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-735.45
Recent activity
- REWARD$7.75Apr 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.17Apr 14, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.76Apr 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$83.52Apr 12, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.04Apr 12, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.07Apr 12, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?$2.08Apr 12, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMAnother GTA VI trailer released by March 31?$4.44Apr 12, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?$5.88Apr 12, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 26?$77.00Apr 12, 13:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 26?$76.69Mar 25, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLX banned in U.K. by March 31?$1.03Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLHuman moon landing in 2026?$1.02Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$3.06Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$4.16Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$4.06Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$4.90Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$5.03Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$4.41Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $15.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".