Keen-Bunkhouse
0xe8b78c3004e3590dae2a2d6c7d289101eebe9ad9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$64.84
Total PnL
$-65.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12 shares @ 87.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.96
$1.31
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.36
$1.36
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
11 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.20
$8.29
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 39.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.78
$-0.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$8.39
$0.42
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.04
$-17.96
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
65 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?$8.00Apr 26, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?$8.00Apr 26, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?$10.00Apr 26, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$2.00Apr 26, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$25.75Apr 26, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$0.00Apr 26, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 26, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$8.33Apr 26, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$5.00Apr 23, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$10.00Apr 23, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$15.59Apr 23, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$0.00Apr 23, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$10.45Apr 22, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$15.00Apr 22, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$25.43Apr 22, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$8.00Apr 22, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$5.00Apr 22, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$8.00Apr 22, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$21.02Apr 22, 03:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 22, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $13.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 05:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.