Magnificent-Cast
0xe8cd82a95f486b58d81db224c003e37dfbc4b264
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$46.82
Total PnL
$-80.96
Realised
$-1.78
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
30 shares @ 84.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.35
$-8.85
- YES
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.50
$3.35
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.15
$0.16
- NO
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
4 shares @ 40.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.42
$1.75
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
20 shares @ 3.2¢·now 13.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.60
$1.97
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
100 shares @ 5.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.50
$-2.93
- YES
Will Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
138 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.2¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$1.66
$-0.47
- NO
Will Trump Airport become law this year?
2 shares @ 40.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.54
$0.87
- YES
Will George Kirby win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
139 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$1.26
$-0.89
- NO
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.00Jun 10, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.00Jun 10, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.01Jun 10, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$1.12Jun 8, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.02Jun 7, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.00Jun 5, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.00Jun 3, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kyle Bradish win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.01Jun 3, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.02May 31, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$2.00May 27, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Gausman win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$1.81May 26, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.98May 25, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$5.73May 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kyle Bradish win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.17May 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$4.06May 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.02May 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Brown win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.08May 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Brown win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.01May 23, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$11.65May 23, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Williams win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$1.39May 22, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.