Cautious-Folklore
0xe8d5e8f502a857570936434ae005d5e9adcb1cae
Quality score
66/100
Open positions
25
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-60.10
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
1197 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.2K
$885.78
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
2492 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$610.54
$-37.38
- OVER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5
888 shares @ 35.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$452.88
$142.08
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
421 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$420.79
$0.21
- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
322 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$322.00
$51.52
- NO
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?
318 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$318.00
$171.72
- NO
Will Ryan Crosswell be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?
180 shares @ 88.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$133.20
$-25.20
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
120 shares @ 49.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$99.60
$40.80
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
1139 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$70.05
$-134.97
- NO
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
944 shares @ 26.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$50.50
$-198.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5$310.801d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$647.921d ago
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?$110.2416d ago
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?$45.7616d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$34.3816d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$72.9016d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$82.6516d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$197.6416d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$160.5416d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$166.5216d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$11.0416d ago
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?$391.0516d ago
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?$127.0516d ago
- TRADESELLWill São Bernardo FC win on 2026-04-12?$8.5816d ago
- TRADESELLWill São Bernardo FC win on 2026-04-12?$14.5216d ago
- TRADESELLWill São Bernardo FC win on 2026-04-12?$223.7416d ago
- TRADESELLWill TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$8.4016d ago
- TRADESELLWill São Bernardo FC win on 2026-04-12?$174.2416d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$14.5516d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$115.2416d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $204.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 33d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.