Striped-Worry
0xe8ff0a56d848954b60e8e8ed99637e3c50ddc93b
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$544.6K
Total PnL
$6.6K
Realised
$9.39
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
156655 shares @ 87.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$146.5K
$9.8K
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
111999 shares @ 93.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.9K
$2.7K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
111164 shares @ 88.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.0K
$6.5K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
60000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.7K
$-8.1K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
34326 shares @ 88.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.4K
$1.0K
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
27303 shares @ 90.1¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.4K
$814.16
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
29829 shares @ 85.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.9K
$-529.22
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
20000 shares @ 94.4¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.2K
$350.00
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
20000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 79.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.8K
$-941.32
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
12697 shares @ 84.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.4K
$753.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$14.02Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$14.01Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$14.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$14.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$13.99Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$14.00Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$13.99Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$13.99Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$13.98Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$13.98Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$13.97Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$13.97Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$13.97Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$13.97Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$13.97Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$13.96Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$13.96Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$13.96Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$13.98Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$13.95Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.