0xe98793eb114b65ab43f1aef9e51e80f6e1a7b9c5
0xe98793eb114b65ab43f1aef9e51e80f6e1a7b9c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$108.96
Realised
$-9.13
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
390 shares @ 59.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$387.35
$155.78
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
356 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$354.71
$14.92
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
607 shares @ 65.2¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$245.86
$-149.84
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
179 shares @ 93.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$177.92
$10.90
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1117 shares @ 16.6¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$159.11
$-26.72
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
162 shares @ 45.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$135.55
$62.06
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
147 shares @ 73.3¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$134.73
$26.90
- YES
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
206 shares @ 42.4¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.80
$12.55
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
74 shares @ 99.7¢·now 96.9¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$71.41
$-2.03
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
60 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.61
$0.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$64.17Jun 4, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$14.08Jun 1, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$26.28Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$5.95Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: SK Brann (-2.5)$0.00May 24, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$27.07May 23, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?$7.27May 22, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$244.85May 22, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.00May 22, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 18?$0.00May 20, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on May 18?$0.00May 20, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 18?$0.00May 20, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: IK Start (-1.5)$0.00May 20, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: IK Start (-2.5)$0.00May 20, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.00May 20, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 19, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 19, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.0KMay 18, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?$185.21May 18, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?$39.13May 18, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.