Fantastic-Refrigerator
0xea41d1253bf603d7947da4659e85080dc2071c98
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$11.0K
Total PnL
$-662.12
Realised
$877.30
Win rate
47%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
2301 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$68.56
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
1322 shares @ 91.8¢·now 95.7¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.3K
$51.00
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
1186 shares @ 77.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$180.42
- YES
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
1213 shares @ 19.7¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$666.89
$427.53
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
1417 shares @ 32.5¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$651.67
$191.67
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
678 shares @ 90.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$620.45
$6.43
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3042 shares @ 22.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$532.39
$-165.21
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
415 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$399.64
$4.12
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
642 shares @ 26.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$375.57
$208.86
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
439 shares @ 85.3¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$373.15
$-1.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$4.59Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.71Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?$180.00Jun 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 15?$3.85Jun 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$48.44Jun 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$20.80Jun 12, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$274.02Jun 12, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$50.52Jun 12, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$51.79Jun 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$18.29Jun 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$79.06Jun 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$90.39Jun 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.08Jun 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$3.40Jun 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$42.25Jun 12, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$379.50Jun 12, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$254.15Jun 12, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$399.92Jun 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$500.00Jun 12, 14:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $127.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.