Milky-Lightscreen
0xea5a0ab4a94ad8b9c3553f06ebab278b008ee6ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-753.46
Realised
$-3.67
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- INDIA TIGERS
Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers
1693 shares @ 83.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$863.43
$-541.76
- NO
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
390 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$390.00
$39.78
- AFGHANISTAN
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
718 shares @ 21.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$369.77
$218.99
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
779 shares @ 81.3¢·now 46.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$363.40
$-269.92
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
256 shares @ 67.5¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$230.40
$57.61
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
129 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$127.65
$0.77
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
830 shares @ 37.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$70.55
$-236.55
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
97 shares @ 25.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.33
$-18.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.73
$0.23
- YES
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
1 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$-0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in February?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$4.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 27 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMLevante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 5AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $205.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 04:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.