Welcome-Cape
0xeb2a3333cfa17333bbfe202f06a501a2842e5cce
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-459.36
Realised
$24.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
1292 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-154.98
- YES
Iran leadership change by March 31?
666 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-53.28
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
300 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-48.60
- NO
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
270 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.67
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
200 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
193 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-53.98
- YES
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
114 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-77.66
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
34 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?$8.80Jun 5, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?$0.60Jun 5, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?$10.60Jun 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$182.74Jun 1, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$96.11May 16, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$56.00Apr 27, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$199.59Apr 27, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$0.69Apr 27, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$26.92Apr 27, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1.75Apr 27, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$40.63Apr 27, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Go ahead" 3+ times during healthcare event?$538.84Apr 23, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Go ahead" 3+ times during healthcare event?$7.88Apr 23, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Go ahead" 3+ times during healthcare event?$54.00Apr 23, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Go ahead" 3+ times during healthcare event?$58.00Apr 23, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Go ahead" 3+ times during healthcare event?$25.86Apr 23, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?$2.25Apr 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?$2.10Apr 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?$6.01Apr 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?$2.00Apr 12, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $74.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 23:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 22:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.