Unwritten-Trumpet
0xeb6e36cf5a5d843a9d47573a7170c3b7553b4f4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$249.89
Total PnL
$-73.81
Realised
$-2.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
150 shares @ 74.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$140.18
$28.18
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
130 shares @ 63.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$94.25
$12.35
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?
40 shares @ 30.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$15.00
$3.00
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-32.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?
80 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?
44 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 3?
40 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?
20 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$17.60Jul 19, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$6.57Jul 19, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$7.00Jul 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$15.50Jul 17, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$10.60Jul 17, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 17?$4.07Jul 16, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 15?$20.00Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$12.34Jul 15, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$9.40Jul 15, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$14.35Jul 15, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.82Jul 15, 04:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$25.38Jul 14, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$14.37Jul 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$30.00Jul 14, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 15?$14.29Jul 14, 06:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$23.62Jul 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on July 13?$8.60Jul 13, 12:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $13.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.