Cute-Farmland
0xeb6f0a13ea8c5a7a0514c25495adbe815c1025f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$121.1K
Total PnL
$28.1K
Realised
$7.8K
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
77630 shares @ 33.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$43.1K
$16.9K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
32639 shares @ 49.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$12.9K
$-3.2K
- YES
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
18270 shares @ 55.8¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$12.7K
$2.5K
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
7276 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.1¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$7.0K
$14.55
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
7154 shares @ 42.6¢·now 87.9¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$6.3K
$3.2K
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
23203 shares @ 23.9¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.5K
$-34.78
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
6015 shares @ 81.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$5.3K
$369.24
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
22035 shares @ 23.8¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.2K
$-6.37
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
33296 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.8K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
15529 shares @ 24.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.3K
$395.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$465.34Jul 29, 12:02 UTC
- MERGEWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.9KJul 29, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4.4KJul 29, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$54.25Jul 29, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$10.00Jul 29, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.56Jul 29, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$233.90Jul 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$12.00Jul 29, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$28.54Jul 29, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$116.95Jul 29, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.8KJul 29, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3.2KJul 29, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.1KJul 29, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$4.76Jul 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$504.24Jul 29, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$95.23Jul 29, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$10.00Jul 29, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$5.00Jul 29, 01:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$163.92Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.33Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$129.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
12%
Window
Jun 3, 11:40 UTC → Jul 16, 17:25 UTC
- SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$46.0K@96¢Jul 16, 17:25 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 5 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$46.0K
1 trades
Buy share
12%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
$121.7K · 94% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 21:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.