General-Explanation
0xeb78c4493ef792b4dcbf65c69d9258863cdd52d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$65.05
Total PnL
$-79.46
Realised
$-1.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
388 shares @ 7.4¢·now 14.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$56.77
$28.16
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 79.1¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
3 shares @ 31.5¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.02May 20, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.17May 8, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$0.00Apr 24, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$1.00Apr 2, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$1.00Apr 2, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Bad Guys 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.00Apr 2, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.00Apr 2, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $100 in April?$1.00Apr 2, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?$1.00Apr 2, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.20 in April?$1.00Apr 2, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 in April?$1.00Apr 2, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$11.11Apr 2, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 1, 23:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 20:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 13:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.