Optimal-Direction
0xebe5e3d47ab5cb03d0fb4a283e6d5259f069423f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$10.74
Total PnL
$-305.30
Realised
$7.91
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.33
$5.33
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-0.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
10500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.06
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
1833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
853 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-38.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
798 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-39.94
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
576 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-32.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.00Apr 4, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.00Apr 4, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.00Apr 4, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026?$1.98Apr 3, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026?$20.00Apr 3, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.05Apr 3, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.93Apr 3, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$3.43Apr 2, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?$1.30Apr 2, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMMajor Space Weather event this week? (March 22-28)$2.22Mar 26, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.84Mar 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran legalize gay marriage?$9.49Mar 20, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.30Mar 20, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$2.00Mar 19, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$5.00Mar 19, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.00Mar 19, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.13Mar 19, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.00Mar 19, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.00Mar 19, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$3.00Mar 19, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".