0xebed2d8219a481efe267715fa485f6c54ec404c2
0xebed2d8219a481efe267715fa485f6c54ec404c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$510.73
Total PnL
$-116.59
Realised
$7.34
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
420 shares @ 43.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$211.96
$30.03
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
102 shares @ 79.6¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$85.38
$4.03
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
131 shares @ 28.3¢·now 30.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$39.27
$2.26
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
36 shares @ 73.9¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$31.30
$4.70
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
59 shares @ 43.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.39
$-2.95
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$19.08
$4.08
- YES
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.73
$-1.22
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$16.32
$-3.68
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
145 shares @ 6.9¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.91
$-1.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score$2.04Jun 14, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?$1.03Jun 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao?$1.03Jun 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao?$1.03Jun 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$1.03Jun 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$2.86Jun 14, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$4.26Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$5.80Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$2.27Jun 14, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$1.50Jun 14, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco?$1.03Jun 13, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?$1.03Jun 13, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco?$1.03Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$2.03Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$2.05Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$12.50Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$2.05Jun 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$0.43Jun 13, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 23:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.