Accomplished-Frame
0xec0ad50873b5651c1f714f9f556fa744050068b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-240.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
190 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
- YES
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
83 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.42
- YES
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?
80 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
80 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.10
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?
62 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.22
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?
50 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.20
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
40 shares @ 60.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?$1.45Jul 7, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$5.00Jul 7, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?$5.62Jul 7, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.01May 15, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Moskovka by April 30?$1.28May 15, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?$10.00May 15, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$10.00May 15, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?$82.28Apr 18, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$0.43Apr 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$0.60Apr 16, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$4.57Apr 16, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?$63.70Apr 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Moskovka by April 30?$1.40Apr 15, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?$0.39Apr 15, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$10.40Apr 14, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Moskovka by April 30?$0.28Apr 14, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$6.00Apr 14, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$7.80Apr 14, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$0.00Apr 14, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $9.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.