Cavernous-Union
0xec3292648fd3fddf7bff8b4876212bf40739dd1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$247.48
Total PnL
$-85.94
Realised
$-0.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?
189 shares @ 65.4¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$86.22
$-37.74
- YES
Chud the Builder convicted?
74 shares @ 67.8¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2027$38.32
$-11.68
- YES
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
150 shares @ 48.3¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$35.90
$-36.42
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?
36 shares @ 68.1¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.56
$-1.14
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
23 shares @ 68.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.01
$3.17
- NO
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.97
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.34
$1.34
- NO
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
18 shares @ 56.7¢·now 58.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.23
$0.23
- YES
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
31 shares @ 26.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2027$4.92
$-3.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?$49.62Jun 9, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$18.40Jun 5, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$52.03Jun 5, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$16.05Jun 5, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?$14.89Jun 5, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$5.42Jun 5, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?$9.51Jun 5, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?$9.82Jun 1, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$10.10May 31, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$5.98May 29, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?$25.57May 28, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?$76.05May 28, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$5.05May 28, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?$10.17May 28, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?$10.13May 28, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?$10.18May 28, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYChud the Builder convicted?$15.00May 28, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$12.19May 28, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$39.44May 28, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$14.04May 28, 22:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $27.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 03:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.