Amazing-Sow-Breadcrumb
0xece0652e24c87c887a39ee497dfbfe4fa23ec3a8
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$230.90
Total PnL
$7.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$99.95
$-0.05
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.09
$3.09
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
27 shares @ 74.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.87
$3.08
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 88.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$2.22
- NO
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.91
$4.91
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 71.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.85
$1.85
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.16
$1.16
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.44
$0.44
- NO
French election called by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$10.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$5.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$10.004d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$46.184d ago
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$1.0011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.0011d ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$9.7211d ago
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$10.0011d ago
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$11.0911d ago
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$10.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$20.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$10.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?$10.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$10.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$17.7819d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$30.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.0019d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $18.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 19d ago
- Last active
- 4d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".